Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Show: 20 | 50 | 100
Results 1 - 20 de 4.814
Filter
1.
BMJ Open ; 14(5): e080804, 2024 May 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38719314

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to evaluate mortality and morbidity outcomes following open-heart isolated tricuspid valve surgery (TVSx) with medium to long-term follow-up. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: New South Wales public and private hospital admissions between 1 January 2002 and 30 June 2018. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 537 patients underwent open isolated TVSx during the study period. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome was all-cause mortality tracked from the death registry to 31 December 2018. Secondary morbidity outcomes, including admission for congestive cardiac failure (CCF), new atrial fibrillation (AF), infective endocarditis (IE), pulmonary embolism (PE) and insertion of a permanent pacemaker (PPM) or implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD), were tracked from the Admitted Patient Data Collection database. Independent mortality associations were determined using the Cox regression method. RESULTS: A total of 537 patients underwent open isolated TVSx (46% male): median age (IQR) was 63.5 years (43.9-73.8 years) with median length of stay of 16 days (10-31 days). Main cardiovascular comorbidities were AF (54%) and CCF (42%); 67% had rheumatic tricuspid valve. In-hospital and total mortality were 7.4% and 39.3%, respectively (mean follow-up: 4.8 years). Cause-specific deaths were evenly split between cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular causes. Predictors of mortality included a history of CCF (HR=1.78, 95% CI 1.33 to 2.38, p<0.001) and chronic pulmonary disease (HR=2.66, 95% CI 1.63 to 4.33, p<0.001). In-hospital PPM rate was 10.0%. At 180 days, 53 (9.9%) patients were admitted for CCF, 25 (10.1%) had new AF, 7 (1.5%) had new IE and <1% had PE, post-discharge PPM or ICD insertion. CONCLUSION: Open isolated TVSx carries significant mortality risk, with decompensated CCF and new AF the most common morbidities encountered after surgery. This report forms a benchmark to compare outcomes with newer percutaneous tricuspid interventions.


Subject(s)
Tricuspid Valve , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Aged , Tricuspid Valve/surgery , New South Wales/epidemiology , Adult , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/mortality , Tricuspid Valve Insufficiency/surgery , Tricuspid Valve Insufficiency/mortality
2.
Comput Biol Med ; 174: 108321, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38626511

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular patients experience high rates of adverse outcomes following discharge from hospital, which may be preventable through early identification and targeted action. This study aimed to investigate the effectiveness and explainability of machine learning algorithms in predicting unplanned readmission and death in cardiovascular patients at 30 days and 180 days from discharge. METHODS: Gradient boosting machines were trained and evaluated using data from hospital electronic medical records linked to hospital administrative and mortality data for 39,255 patients admitted to four hospitals in New South Wales, Australia between 2017 and 2021. Sociodemographic variables, admission history, and clinical information were used as potential predictors. The performance was compared to LASSO regression, as well as the HOSPITAL and LACE risk score indices. Important risk factors identified by the gradient-boosting machine model were explored using Shapley values. RESULTS: The models performed well, especially for the mortality outcomes. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values were 0.70 for readmission and 0.87-0.90 for mortality using the full gradient boosting machine algorithms. Among the top predictors for 30-day and 180-day readmission were increased red cell distribution width, old age (especially above 80 years), high measured troponin and urea levels, not being married or in a relationship, and low albumin levels. For mortality, these included increased red cell distribution width, old age (especially older than 70 years), high measured troponin and urea levels, high neutrophil and monocyte counts, and low eosinophil and lymphocyte counts. The Shapley values gave clear insight into the dynamics of decision-tree-based models. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated an explainable predictive algorithm to identify cardiovascular patients who are at high risk of readmission or death at discharge from the hospital and identified key risk factors.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Machine Learning , Patient Readmission , Humans , Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data , Male , Female , Aged , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Middle Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Risk Factors , New South Wales/epidemiology , Algorithms , Adult
3.
BMJ Paediatr Open ; 8(1)2024 Apr 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38604771

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Prenatal drug exposure (PDE) is one of the most important causes of child harm, but comprehensive information about the long-term outcomes of the families is difficult to ascertain. The Joining the Dots cohort study uses linked population data to understand the relationship between services, therapeutic interventions and outcomes of children with PDE. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Information from routinely collected administrative databases was linked for all births registered in New South Wales (NSW), Australia between 1 July 2001 and 31 December 2020 (n=1 834 550). Outcomes for seven mutually exclusive groups of children with varying prenatal exposure to maternal substances of addiction, including smoking, alcohol, prescription/illicit drugs and neonatal abstinence syndrome will be assessed. Key exposure measures include maternal drug use type, maternal social demographics or social determinants of health, and maternal physical and mental health comorbidities. Key outcome measures will include child mortality, academic standardised testing results, rehospitalisation and maternal survival. Data analysis will be conducted using Stata V.18.0. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Approvals were obtained from the NSW Population and Health Services Research Ethics Committee (29 June 2020; 2019/ETH12716) and the Australian Capital Territory Health Human Research Ethics Committee (11 October 2021; 2021-1231, 2021-1232, 2021-1233); and the Aboriginal Health and Medical Research Council (5 July 2022; 1824/21), and all Australian educational sectors: Board of Studies (government schools), Australian Independent Schools and Catholic Education Commission (D2014/120797). Data were released to researchers in September 2022. Results will be presented in peer-reviewed academic journals and at international conferences. Collaborative efforts from similar datasets in other countries are welcome.


Subject(s)
Health Services, Indigenous , Prenatal Exposure Delayed Effects , Adolescent , Child , Female , Humans , Pregnancy , Australia/epidemiology , Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Peoples , Cohort Studies , New South Wales/epidemiology , Prenatal Exposure Delayed Effects/epidemiology , Data Collection
4.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(4): e248491, 2024 Apr 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38656574

ABSTRACT

Importance: A high proportion of patients who sustain a fracture have multimorbidity. However, the association of multimorbidity with postfracture adverse outcomes, such as subsequent fractures and premature mortality, has not been widely explored. Objective: To examine the association of multimorbidity and self-rated health with subsequent fractures and mortality after fracture. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort study included participants from New South Wales, Australia, in the Sax Institute's 45 and Up Study (n = 267 357). Participants were recruited from July 2005 to December 2009 and followed up from the date of the incident fracture until subsequent fracture, death, or the end of the study (April 2017), whichever occurred first, with questionnaire data linked to hospital admission and medication records. Data analysis was reported between March and September 2023. Exposures: Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score and self-rated health (SRH). Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcomes were subsequent fracture or mortality after an incident fracture. Associations between SRH measures and subsequent fracture and mortality were also assessed. All analyses were stratified by sex given the different fracture and mortality risk profiles of females and males. Results: Of 25 280 adults who sustained incident fractures, 16 191 (64%) were female (mean [SD] age, 74 [12] years) and 9089 (36%) were male (mean [SD] age, 74 [13] years). During a median follow-up time of 2.8 years (IQR, 1.1-5.2 years), 2540 females (16%) and 1135 males (12%) sustained a subsequent fracture and 2281 females (14%) and 2140 males (24%) died without a subsequent fracture. Compared with a CCI score of less than 2, those with a CCI score of 2 to 3 had an increased risk of subsequent fracture (females: hazard ratio [HR], 1.16 [95% CI, 1.05-1.27]; males: HR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.09-1.43]) and mortality (females: HR, 2.19 [95% CI, 1.99-2.40]; males: HR, 1.89 [95% CI, 1.71-2.09]). Those with a CCI score of 4 or greater had greater risks of subsequent fracture (females: HR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.12-1.58]; males: HR, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.21-1.81]) and mortality (females: HR, 4.48 [95% CI, 3.97-5.06]; males: HR, 3.82 [95% CI 3.41-4.29]). Self-rated health was also significantly associated with subsequent fracture and mortality. Those reporting the poorest health and quality of life had the highest subsequent fracture risks, and their mortality risks were even higher. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, both CCI and SRH measures were associated with increased risk of subsequent fractures and mortality after fracture, underscoring the importance of managing the care of patients with comorbidities who sustain a fracture.


Subject(s)
Fractures, Bone , Multimorbidity , Humans , Male , Female , Aged , Prospective Studies , Fractures, Bone/epidemiology , Fractures, Bone/mortality , New South Wales/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Aged, 80 and over
5.
Med J Aust ; 220(5): 249-257, 2024 Mar 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38493353

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To determine the annual numbers of first ICD insertions in New South Wales during 2005-2020; to examine health outcomes for people who first received ICDs during this period. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study; analysis of linked administrative health data. SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: All first insertions of ICDs in NSW, 2005-2020. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Annual numbers of first ICD insertions, and of emergency department presentations and hospital re-admissions 30 days, 90 days, 365 days after first ICD insertions; all-cause and disease-specific mortality (to ten years after ICD insertion). RESULTS: During 2005-2020, ICDs were first inserted into 16 867 people (18.5 per 100 000 population); their mean age was 65.7 years (standard deviation, 13.5 years; 7376 aged 70 years or older, 43.7%), 13 214 were men (78.3%). The annual number of insertions increased from 791 in 2005 to 1256 in 2016; the first ICD insertion rate increased from 15.5 in 2005 to 18.9 per 100 000 population in 2010, after which the rate was stable until 2019 (19.8 per 100 000 population). Of the 16 778 people discharged alive from hospital after first ICD insertions, 54.4% presented to emergency departments within twelve months, including 1236 with cardiac arrhythmias (7.4%) and 434 with device-related problems (2.6%); 56% were re-admitted to hospital, including 1944 with cardiac arrhythmias (11.5%) and 2045 with device-related problems (12.1%). A total of 5624 people who received first ICDs during 2005-2020 (33.3%) died during follow-up (6.7 deaths per 100 person-years); the survival rate was 94.4% at one year, 76.5% at five years, and 54.2% at ten years. CONCLUSIONS: The annual number of new ICDs inserted in NSW has increased since 2005. A substantial proportion of recipients experience device-related problems that require re-admission to hospital. The potential harms of ICD insertion should be considered when assessing the likelihood of preventing fatal ventricular arrhythmia.


Subject(s)
Arrhythmias, Cardiac , Defibrillators, Implantable , Male , Humans , Aged , Female , Retrospective Studies , New South Wales/epidemiology , Arrhythmias, Cardiac/epidemiology , Arrhythmias, Cardiac/therapy , Arrhythmias, Cardiac/complications , Defibrillators, Implantable/adverse effects , Heart , Death, Sudden, Cardiac/epidemiology , Death, Sudden, Cardiac/prevention & control , Death, Sudden, Cardiac/etiology
6.
BMJ ; 384: e077634, 2024 03 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38537951

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To determine the strength and nature of the association between delirium and incident dementia in a population of older adult patients without dementia at baseline. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using large scale hospital administrative data. SETTING: Public and private hospitals in New South Wales, Australia between July 2001 and March 2020. PARTICIPANTS: Data were extracted for 650 590 hospital patients aged ≥65 years. Diagnoses of dementia and delirium were identified from ICD-10 (international classification of diseases, 10th revision) codes. Patients with dementia at baseline were excluded. Delirium-no delirium pairs were identified by matching personal and clinical characteristics, and were followed for more than five years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cox proportional hazards models and Fine-Gray hazard models were used to estimate the associations of delirium with death and incident dementia, respectively. Delirium-outcome dose-response associations were quantified, all analyses were performed in men and women separately, and sensitivity analyses were conducted. RESULTS: The study included 55 211 matched pairs (48% men, mean age 83.4 years, standard deviation 6.5 years). Collectively, 58% (n=63 929) of patients died and 17% (n=19 117) had a newly reported dementia diagnosis during 5.25 years of follow-up. Patients with delirium had 39% higher risk of death (hazard ratio 1.39, 95% confidence interval 1.37 to 1.41) and three times higher risk of incident dementia (subdistribution hazard ratio 3.00, 95% confidence interval 2.91 to 3.10) than patients without delirium. The association with dementia was stronger in men (P=0.004). Each additional episode of delirium was associated with a 20% increased risk of dementia (subdistribution hazard ratio 1.20, 95% confidence interval 1.18 to 1.23). CONCLUSIONS: The study findings suggest delirium was a strong risk factor for death and incident dementia among older adult patients. The data support a causal interpretation of the association between delirium and dementia. The clinical implications of delirium as a potentially modifiable risk factor for dementia are substantial.


Subject(s)
Delirium , Dementia , Male , Humans , Female , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Dementia/diagnosis , Delirium/epidemiology , Delirium/etiology , Delirium/diagnosis , Retrospective Studies , New South Wales/epidemiology , Inpatients , Australia , Risk Factors , Hospitals
7.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(4): 691-700, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38526124

ABSTRACT

Salmonella enterica serovar Abortusovis is a ovine-adapted pathogen that causes spontaneous abortion. Salmonella Abortusovis was reported in poultry in 2009 and has since been reported in human infections in New South Wales, Australia. Phylogenomic analysis revealed a clade of 51 closely related isolates from Australia originating in 2004. That clade was genetically distinct from ovine-associated isolates. The clade was widespread in New South Wales poultry production facilities but was only responsible for sporadic human infections. Some known virulence factors associated with human infections were only found in the poultry-associated clade, some of which were acquired through prophages and plasmids. Furthermore, the ovine-associated clade showed signs of genome decay, but the poultry-associated clade did not. Those genomic changes most likely led to differences in host range and disease type. Surveillance using the newly identified genetic markers will be vital for tracking Salmonella Abortusovis transmission in animals and to humans and preventing future outbreaks.


Subject(s)
Salmonella enterica , Salmonella , Pregnancy , Female , Humans , Animals , Sheep , Poultry , Serogroup , New South Wales/epidemiology , Australia/epidemiology
8.
BMJ Open ; 14(3): e079306, 2024 Mar 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38458804

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The overall objective of the study was to describe the disposition status of children presenting with a burn injury to five emergency departments (ED) across New South Wales (NSW), Australia. DESIGN: A retrospective study design was used to review routinely collected ED data. SETTING: Study sites included five acute hospitals across NSW, Australia. PARTICIPANTS: During the 5-year study period between 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2020, there were 5213 paediatric burn injury presentations. RESULTS: The mean age of burn injury presentations was 24 months (Inter-Quartile-Range (IQR) 12-84), of which 57% (2951/5213) were males. The most common presentation time was between 16:00 and 23:59 hours (63%, 3297/5213), and the median time spent in the ED was 3 hours (IQR 1-4). The majority (80%, 4196/5213) of the burn injuries presentations did not require hospital admission. The most common principal diagnoses were 'Burn body region unspecified' (n=1916) and 'Burn of wrist and hand' (n=1060). CONCLUSION: Most children who presented to the hospital with a burn injury were not admitted. Often the details of these burns were poorly recorded and a complete picture of the true burden of burn injury in children, especially the ongoing care given outside the acute hospital setting, is missing. This information is crucial, as it would inform future models of care as the paradigm shifts rapidly towards primary, ambulatory and outpatient models of care.


Subject(s)
Burns , Male , Child , Humans , Child, Preschool , Female , Retrospective Studies , New South Wales/epidemiology , Burns/epidemiology , Burns/therapy , Australia , Emergency Service, Hospital
9.
Vet Parasitol ; 327: 110145, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38382382

ABSTRACT

Our understanding of anthelmintic resistance in the gastrointestinal nematodes of Australian cattle relies exclusively on small-scale phenotypic reports utilising traditional faecal egg count reduction tests. This approach is not readily scalable to establish the national prevalence of resistance, nor is it conducive of routine longitudinal surveillance for the emergence of resistance in its early stages. This study introduces the benefits of applying mixed amplicon metabarcoding longitudinally for timely and cost-efficient molecular surveillance of multiple anthelmintic resistance mutations, as they emerge on farms. Using opportunistically collected faecal samples from a cattle herd in central west New South Wales (2019-2023), we detected the early emergence of Haemonchus spp. levamisole-resistant S168T shortly after levamisole introduction, while benzimidazole-resistant allele frequencies remained constant. Additionally, we observed the possible spill-over of resistant Haemonchus contortus from sheep, along with variations in faecal burdens and species diversity influenced by climate stochasticity and host immunity. This study emphasises the power of molecular diagnostics for farm-level anthelmintic resistance management, providing essential evidence to support its integration into routine surveillance programmes.


Subject(s)
Anthelmintics , Cattle Diseases , Haemonchus , Sheep Diseases , Animals , Cattle , Sheep , Levamisole/therapeutic use , New South Wales/epidemiology , Australia , Anthelmintics/pharmacology , Anthelmintics/therapeutic use , Feces , Haemonchus/genetics , Drug Resistance/genetics , Parasite Egg Count/veterinary , Sheep Diseases/drug therapy , Cattle Diseases/drug therapy , Cattle Diseases/epidemiology
10.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev ; 33(5): 671-680, 2024 May 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38407377

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Digital mammography has replaced film mammography in breast-screening programs globally, including Australia. This led to an increase in the rate of detection, but whether there was increased detection of clinically important cancers is uncertain. METHODS: In this population-wide retrospective cohort study in New South Wales, Australia spanning 2004 to 2016 and including 4,631,656 screens, there were 22,965 cancers in women screened with film (n = 11,040) or digital mammography (n = 11,925). We examined the change in tumor characteristics overall and how these rates changed over time, accounting for changes in background rates using an interrupted time-series. Comparisons were made with unscreened women (n = 26,326) during this time. RESULTS: We found increased detection of in situ cancer (3.36 per 10,000 screens), localized invasive, and smaller-sized breast cancers attributable to the change in mammography technology, whereas screen-detected intermediate-sized and metastatic breast cancers decreased. Rates of early-stage and intermediate-sized interval cancers increased, and late-stage (-1.62 per 10,000 screens) and large interval cancers decreased. In unscreened women, there were small increases in the temporal trends of cancers across all stages. CONCLUSIONS: At least some of the increased detection of smaller early-stage cancers may have translated into a reduction in larger and late-stage cancers, indicating beneficial detection of cancers that would have otherwise progressed. However, the increased detection of smaller early-stage and small cancers may also have increased over-diagnosis of lesions that would otherwise have not caused harm. IMPACT: Robust evaluation of potential benefits and harms is needed after changes to screening programs. See related In the Spotlight, p. 638.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Early Detection of Cancer , Mammography , Humans , Female , Mammography/methods , Mammography/statistics & numerical data , Breast Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , New South Wales/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Early Detection of Cancer/methods , Early Detection of Cancer/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Neoplasm Staging , Adult , Mass Screening/methods , Mass Screening/statistics & numerical data
11.
Heart Lung Circ ; 33(4): 470-478, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38365498

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND & AIM: To develop prognostic survival models for predicting adverse outcomes after catheter ablation treatment for non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) and/or atrial flutter (AFL). METHODS: We used a linked dataset including hospital administrative data, prescription medicine claims, emergency department presentations, and death registrations of patients in New South Wales, Australia. The cohort included patients who received catheter ablation for AF and/or AFL. Traditional and deep survival models were trained to predict major bleeding events and a composite of heart failure, stroke, cardiac arrest, and death. RESULTS: Out of a total of 3,285 patients in the cohort, 177 (5.3%) experienced the composite outcome-heart failure, stroke, cardiac arrest, death-and 167 (5.1%) experienced major bleeding events after catheter ablation treatment. Models predicting the composite outcome had high-risk discrimination accuracy, with the best model having a concordance index >0.79 at the evaluated time horizons. Models for predicting major bleeding events had poor risk discrimination performance, with all models having a concordance index <0.66. The most impactful features for the models predicting higher risk were comorbidities indicative of poor health, older age, and therapies commonly used in sicker patients to treat heart failure and AF and AFL. DISCUSSION: Diagnosis and medication history did not contain sufficient information for precise risk prediction of experiencing major bleeding events. Predicting the composite outcome yielded promising results, but future research is needed to validate the usefulness of these models in clinical practice. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning models for predicting the composite outcome have the potential to enable clinicians to identify and manage high-risk patients following catheter ablation for AF and AFL proactively.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation , Atrial Flutter , Catheter Ablation , Humans , Catheter Ablation/methods , Catheter Ablation/adverse effects , Atrial Flutter/surgery , Male , Female , Atrial Fibrillation/surgery , Aged , Middle Aged , New South Wales/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Survival Rate/trends , Prognosis , Risk Factors , Follow-Up Studies , Risk Assessment/methods , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology
12.
Aust Vet J ; 102(4): 215-221, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38220214

ABSTRACT

In 2017, highly fatal canine leptospirosis emerged in Sydney, Australia. Based on results of microscopic agglutination testing (MAT), serovar Copenhageni appeared to be the most common causative serovar. Prior to this, no clinical cases had been reported since 1976. In a serosurvey of healthy dogs in Australian shelters in 2004, 2.4% of 431 New South Wales dogs had serological evidence of exposure to Copenhageni, the most prevalent serovar. The aim of this study was to estimate the current prevalence of Leptospira exposure and associated serovars in healthy Sydney dogs, previously unvaccinated against Leptospira. Serum samples from 411 healthy dogs in leptospirosis hotspots and neighbouring suburbs were collected before vaccination. MAT for 23 serovars was performed at the WHO Leptospirosis Reference Laboratory in Queensland, Australia. The overall seroprevalence was 4.1% (17/411) with low titres (1/50-1/200) detected. Eleven dogs were from known leptospirosis hotspots. Eight dogs were known to hunt rodents. One dog had been in contact with a leptospirosis positive dog 1 year prior. Serovar Topaz was the most prevalent serovar (n = 5) followed by serovars Australis (n = 4), Copenhageni (n = 4), Djasiman (n = 2), Cynopteri (n = 1), Javanica (n = 1), Medanensis (n = 1), and Pomona (n = 1). In conclusion, serological evidence of exposure of dogs in Sydney to Leptospira is low, but apparently has increased since 2004. Positive titres to serovars not previously reported to cause disease in dogs could be due to low virulence of those serovars or cross-reactivity with other serovars.


Subject(s)
Dog Diseases , Leptospira , Leptospirosis , Animals , Dogs , New South Wales/epidemiology , Seroepidemiologic Studies , Australia , Leptospirosis/epidemiology , Leptospirosis/veterinary , Leptospirosis/prevention & control , Antibodies, Bacterial
13.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 18(1): e13252, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38288510

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: During the 2019 severe influenza season, New South Wales (NSW) experienced the highest number of cases in Australia. This study retrospectively investigated the genetic characteristics of influenza viruses circulating in NSW in 2019 and identified genetic markers related to antiviral resistance and potential virulence. METHODS: The complete genomes of influenza A and B viruses were amplified using reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and sequenced with an Illumina MiSeq platform. RESULTS: When comparing the sequencing data with the vaccine strains and reference sequences, the phylogenetic analysis revealed that most NSW A/H3N2 viruses (n = 68; 94%) belonged to 3C.2a1b and a minority (n = 4; 6%) belonged to 3C.3a. These viruses all diverged from the vaccine strain A/Switzerland/8060/2017. All A/H1N1pdm09 viruses (n = 20) showed genetic dissimilarity from vaccine strain A/Michigan/45/2015, with subclades 6B.1A.5 and 6B.1A.2 identified. All B/Victoria-lineage viruses (n = 21) aligned with clade V1A.3, presenting triple amino acid deletions at positions 162-164 in the hemagglutinin protein, significantly diverging from the vaccine strain B/Colorado/06/2017. Multiple amino acid substitutions were also found in the internal proteins of influenza viruses, some of which have been previously reported in hospitalized influenza patients in Thailand. Notably, the oseltamivir-resistant marker H275Y was present in one immunocompromised patient infected with A/H1N1pdm09 and the resistance-related mutation I222V was detected in another A/H3N2-infected patient. CONCLUSIONS: Considering antigenic drift and the constant evolution of circulating A and B strains, we believe continuous monitoring of influenza viruses in NSW via the high-throughput sequencing approach provides timely and pivotal information for both public health surveillance and clinical treatment.


Subject(s)
Herpesvirus 1, Cercopithecine , Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Herpesvirus 1, Cercopithecine/genetics , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype/genetics , New South Wales/epidemiology , Phylogeny , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/genetics , Australia , Seasons , Whole Genome Sequencing
14.
Drug Alcohol Rev ; 43(2): 440-453, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38173218

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Alcohol is a harmful, toxic and addictive substance that causes many diseases and injuries. Alcohol use also incurs a financial cost to the health care system and wider economy. This project aimed to undertake a cost impact analysis of alcohol-related harms at the local level in New South Wales (NSW). The alcohol-related harms costing model is an interactive tool designed for use by local health districts, stakeholders such as Liquor and Gaming NSW, NSW Independent Liquor and Gaming Authority and community stakeholders. METHODS: Costs included in the analysis were alcohol-related hospitalisations, deaths, crimes, emergency department attendances, outpatient presentations and their impacts on productivity. Two local government areas (LGA) were used as case studies to demonstrate local impacts. RESULTS: In 2019-2020, the total cost of alcohol-related harms for NSW was estimated at $9 billion, at a rate of $120.3 million per 100,000 population. The total costs were comprised of alcohol-attributable premature mortality ($8.3 billion), non-fatal health care costs ($275 million) and crime costs ($457 million). A comparative analysis of two case study LGAs estimated that alcohol-related harms cost $195 million for the Northern Beaches LGA and $351 million for the Central Coast LGA. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS: This research has developed a 'proof-of-concept' model to estimate the cost of alcohol-related harms at the local level in Australia, empowering health agencies and local community stakeholders to use economic evidence in their submissions in response to new liquor licence applications and other policies that impact their local community. This economic evidence can be used to improve the quality of decisions on alcohol regulation and policies. There are a number of future research opportunities that would enhance the economic evidence available to liquor licensing decision-makers.


Subject(s)
Alcohol Drinking , Health Care Costs , Humans , New South Wales/epidemiology , Alcoholic Beverages , Policy
15.
J Autism Dev Disord ; 54(4): 1558-1566, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36652127

ABSTRACT

Routinely collected data help estimate the prevalence of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) in jurisdictions without active autism surveillance. We created a population-based cohort of 1,211,834 children born in 2002-2015 in New South Wales, Australia using data linkage. Children with ASD were identified in three datasets - disability services, hospital admissions, and ambulatory mental health data. The prevalence of ASD in the cohort was 1.3% by age 12 and prevalence at age 6 increased an average of 4.1% per year (95% Confidence Interval, 3.3%, 4.8%). Most children with ASD were identified in disability services data (87%), although data linkage identified 1,711 additional cases that were more likely female, older at first contact, and living in major cities and less disadvantaged areas.


Subject(s)
Autism Spectrum Disorder , Child , Humans , Female , Young Adult , Adult , Autism Spectrum Disorder/epidemiology , New South Wales/epidemiology , Prevalence , Australia , Information Storage and Retrieval
16.
Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand ; 103(4): 729-739, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36915236

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Pregnancy-associated gynecological cancer (PAGC) refers to cancers of the ovary, uterus, fallopian tube, cervix, vagina, and vulva diagnosed during pregnancy or within 12 months postpartum. We aimed to describe the incidence of, and perinatal outcomes associated with, invasive pregnancy-associated gynecological cancer. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We conducted a population-based historical cohort study using linked data from New South Wales, Australia. We included all women who gave birth between 1994 and 2013, with a follow-up period extending to September 30, 2018. Three groups were analyzed: a gestational PAGC group (women diagnosed during pregnancy), a postpartum PAGC group (women diagnosed within 1 year of giving birth), and a control group (women with control diagnosis during pregnancy or within 1 year of giving birth). We used generalized estimation equations to compare perinatal outcomes between study groups. RESULTS: There were 1 786 137 deliveries during the study period; 70 women were diagnosed with gestational PAGC and 191 with postpartum PAGC. The incidence of PAGC was 14.6/100 000 deliveries and did not change during the study period. Women with gestational PAGC (adjusted odds ratio [aAOR] 6.81, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.97-15.62) and with postpartum PAGC (aOR 2.65, 95% CI 1.25-5.61) had significantly increased odds of a severe maternal morbidity outcome compared with the control group. Babies born to women with gestational PAGC were more likely to be born preterm (aOR 3.11, 95% CI 1.47-6.59) and were at increased odds of severe neonatal complications (aOR 3.47, 95% CI 1.45-8.31) compared with babies born to women without PAC. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of PAGC has not increased over time perhaps reflecting, in part, the effectiveness of cervical screening and early impacts of human papillomavirus vaccination programs in Australia. The higher rate of preterm birth among the gestational PAGC group is associated with adverse outcomes in babies born to these women.


Subject(s)
Papillomavirus Infections , Papillomavirus Vaccines , Premature Birth , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms , Pregnancy , Infant, Newborn , Female , Humans , New South Wales/epidemiology , Premature Birth/epidemiology , Premature Birth/etiology , Cohort Studies , Early Detection of Cancer , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/diagnosis , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/epidemiology , Australia , Parturition , Pregnancy Outcome/epidemiology
17.
Health Promot J Austr ; 35(1): 235-241, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37012613

ABSTRACT

ISSUE ADDRESSED: To describe the characteristics of tobacco control programs (TCPs) delivered by Aboriginal Community Controlled Health Services (ACCHSs) in New South Wales (NSW), Australia. METHODS: A key informant from each ACCHS in NSW completed a 30-item online survey. For each TCP, ACCHSs were asked to provide: the target population group, program aims and activities, funding source, and whether the program had been monitored or evaluated and reflected principles of community control and engagement. RESULTS: Twenty-five of 38 eligible ACCHSs completed the survey (66% response rate). Overall, 64% of services reported currently delivering at least one TCP, almost all of which aimed to promote quitting (95%). Programs involved brief intervention for tobacco cessation (71%), referral to quit services (67%), or use of printed resources (67%). Funding sources included Local Health Districts (52% of programs), the Commonwealth Government (48%) and NSW Ministry of Health (43%). Most programs were aimed at all Aboriginal people who smoke (76%); 19% targeted women or families during pregnancy/birth. Many TCPs used culturally tailored resources (86%) and employed Aboriginal staff (86%), and 48% had been evaluated. CONCLUSIONS: A third of participating ACCHS did not have a specific TCP to address smoking among Aboriginal people, and delivery of programs was characterised by an uncoordinated approach across the state. Aboriginal staff and culturally tailored messages were a focus of existing TCP programs. SO WHAT?: Findings highlight the need for more investment in TCPs for Aboriginal people to ensure all ACCHSs can deliver evidence-based programs.


Subject(s)
Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Peoples , Health Services, Indigenous , Humans , Australia/epidemiology , Cross-Sectional Studies , New South Wales/epidemiology , Tobacco Control
18.
AIDS Behav ; 28(2): 574-582, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38085429

ABSTRACT

An enabling legal environment is essential for an effective HIV response. Using legal administrative data from the HIV/AIDS Legal Centre (HALC), Australia's specialist HIV community legal service, this article characterizes the nature and trends in the legal issues and needs of those with HIV-related legal issues in New South Wales, Australia since 1992. At present, approximately 40% of all PLHIV living in NSW receive a legal service from HALC during the most recent five-year period. Clients received legal services relating to immigration law at a greatly increased rate (2010: 36%; 2019: 53%), discrimination matters decreased (2010: 17%; 2019: 5.9%), wills and estates remained steady (2010: 9%; 2019: 8.3%). Most clients identify as male (76.9%), homosexual (55%) and are aged between 35 and 49 years of age (34.6%). This demographic profile of clients changed over time, becoming younger and more likely to have been born overseas, and increasingly identifying as heterosexual.


Subject(s)
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome , HIV Infections , Adult , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Australia/epidemiology , Emigration and Immigration , HIV Infections/epidemiology , New South Wales/epidemiology
19.
Intern Med J ; 54(1): 149-156, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37488980

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIg) is a critical replacement therapy for immunodeficiencies and immunomodulatory treatment for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases. Adequate supply of IVIg is a global issue, necessitating supply restrictions. In Australia, despite strict criteria for use, demand for IVIg has increased over time and exceeds domestic supply. OBJECTIVE: Factors associated with the upward trend in overall IVIg use were examined, including in the number of unique patients, IVIg dosing and treatment frequency and variations by prescribing discipline and disease group. METHODS: De-identified data of IVIg dispensed in the largest Australian state (New South Wales) from 2007 to 2013 were provided by Australian Red Cross Lifeblood. Trends and projections were calculated using log-linear regression of unique patients, treatment episodes and grams of IVIg for overall use and use stratified by discipline and disease group. RESULTS: During the study period, 169 453 treatment episodes were recorded for 12 547 unique patients accounting for 5 827 787 g of IVIg use. Overall, IVIg use increased by 12.0% (11.5-12.6%) per year representing a 97.7% increase (91.6-104%) over the study period. The highest growth was among neurological conditions (16.0% (14.9-17.1%) per year). An increase in the number of unique patients was the primary driver of this growth, augmented by increases in the frequency and average dose per treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Clinically acceptable measures to improve management of IVIg supply are needed including optimising dose, frequency and duration of treatment. Formal evaluation of IVIg versus alternatives, including cost-effectiveness and comparative efficacy, is warranted.


Subject(s)
Immunoglobulins, Intravenous , Plasma Exchange , Humans , Immunoglobulins, Intravenous/therapeutic use , New South Wales/epidemiology , Australia/epidemiology
20.
Aust Vet J ; 102(1-2): 26-29, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37772339

ABSTRACT

In 2016, bluetongue virus (BTV), serotype 16 (BTV-16), was detected in New South Wales (NSW) in sentinel cattle for the first time. Over the next 6 years, BTV-16 has been detected regularly and over an increasing area of the BTV zone in NSW. In April 2023, disease was reported in sheep on two farms on the Northern Tablelands of NSW. The consistent clinical signs included reduced exercise tolerance, facial swelling, serous nasal discharges with encrustation of the nasal plane, subcutaneous oedema of the neck and brisket and variable congestion of the coronary band. Affected sheep were mainly mature ewes and rams, with an estimated morbidity of 20% over a period of 6-8 weeks. Although there were several unexpected deaths, no veterinary examination was sought. Predominantly BTV-16 RNA was detected in sick sheep, with an incidence of infection of approximately 40% in a cross section of one flock. These events represent the first confirmation of disease due to bluetongue virus in NSW. As these cases occurred in a region with a high density of sheep, if there is ongoing transmission of BTV-16 during subsequent summers, further disease might be expected.


Subject(s)
Bluetongue virus , Bluetongue , Sheep Diseases , Sheep , Animals , Female , Male , Cattle , Bluetongue/epidemiology , New South Wales/epidemiology , Serogroup , Sheep, Domestic
SELECTION OF CITATIONS
SEARCH DETAIL
...